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The Ministry of Defence (MOD) has published the seventh edition of its Global Strategic Trends: Out to 2055, offering a comprehensive analysis of long-term global trends with significant implications for the defence sector. This document, which has been a key part of the MOD’s strategic foresight for over 20 years, examines global drivers of change and outlines possible future scenarios to aid defence planning.

The report presents a broad range of insights into potential technological advancements and strategic defence shifts. Although not representing official UK government or MOD policy, these findings will inform the upcoming Strategic Defence Review, which aims to ensure the UK’s Armed Forces are prepared for future challenges.

Key highlights of the report include:

  • Russia’s uncertain future post-Ukraine conflict, with its global power status at stake.
  • China’s use of economic and military strength to pursue its objectives, shaping future global interactions.
  • The growing importance of resilience, agility, and new deterrence models in an era of increasing global instability.
  • The potential rise in nuclear-armed states and new weapons of mass effect, presenting fresh challenges for defence and security.
  • The increasing role of space and cyberspace in military strategy and success on future battlefields.

Admiral Sir Tony Radakin, Chief of the Defence Staff, emphasised the importance of studying these trends, noting: “Examining future shocks in a volatile world is vital to assist policymakers and leaders.”

General Sir Jim Hockenhull, Commander of Strategic Command, added: “This latest edition promotes an open-minded approach to understanding Defence and Security and provides critical insights for future capability planning.”

The analysis identifies six primary drivers of change that are likely to reshape defence and global security: global power competition, demographic pressures, climate change, technological advancements, economic transformation, and inequality.

As the defence industry looks ahead, Global Strategic Trends: Out to 2055 provides valuable foresight for suppliers involved in shaping the future capabilities of the UK’s defence infrastructure.

For more information and insights, defence suppliers are encouraged to review the full Global Strategic Trends report.

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Post written by: Vicky Maggiani

Vicky has worked in media for over 20 years and has a wealth of experience in editing and creating copy for a variety of sectors.

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